Ukwamkelwa kweCarbon Fiber kwiWind Turbine Blades kuza kukhula ngokuphawulekayo

Ngomhla wama-24 kweyeSilimela, i-Astute Analytica, umhlalutyi wehlabathi kunye nenkampani yeengcebiso, yapapasha uhlalutyo lwehlabathiifayibha yekhabhonikwimarike yee-rotor blades ze-wind turbine, ingxelo ka-2024-2032. Ngokwengxelo yohlalutyo, ubungakanani be-carbon fiber kwihlabathi kwimarike yee-rotor blades ze-wind turbine babumalunga ne-$4,392 yezigidi ngo-2023, ngelixa kulindeleke ukuba ifikelele kwi-$15,904 yezigidi ngo-2032, ikhula kwi-CAGR ye-15.37% ngexesha lexesha eliqikelelweyo lika-2024-2032.

Amanqaku aphambili engxelo malunga nokusetyenziswaifayibha yekhabhoniKwiibhleyidi ze-turbine yomoya ziquka la macandelo alandelayo:

• Ngokwengingqi, imakethi yefayibha yekhabhoni yaseAsia-Pacific yamandla omoya yeyona inkulu ngo-2023, ifikelela kwi-59.9%;
• Ngokwesayizi yeblade yeturbine yomoya, i-carbon fiber inomlinganiselo ophezulu wokusetyenziswa we-38.4% ngobukhulu beeblade ezingama-51-75 m;
• Ngokwembono yeendawo ezisetyenziswayo, umlinganiselo wokusetyenziswa kwe-carbon fiber kwi-wind turbine blade wing beam cap uphezulu njenge-61.2%.

Iindlela eziphambili zophuhliso lwee-wind turbine blades kwiminyaka yakutshanje ziquka:

1. Inkqubela phambili kwezobuchwepheshe kwimveliso: uphuculo oluqhubekayo kwiinkqubo zemveliso ye-carbon fiber kunye neempawu zezinto;
2. Ukwanda kobude beblade: imfuno yeeblade ezinde nezikhaphukhaphu iyanda ukuze kuphuculwe ukubanjwa kwamandla kunye nokusebenza kakuhle;
3. Ukukhula kwemarike yengingqi: iqhutywa kukunyuka kwemfuno yamandla kunye nemigaqo-nkqubo yenkxaso karhulumente, imakethi kummandla we-Asia-Pacific ikhule kakhulu.

Eyona mingeni ibalulekileyo ekusetyenzisweni kweifayibha yekhabhonikwiibhleyidi ze-wind turbine ziquka oku kulandelayo:

1. Iindleko zokuqala eziphezulu zotyalo-mali: ukuveliswa kwefayibha yekhabhoni kunye nokuhlanganiswa kwiiturbine zomoya kufuna imali eninzi;
2. Uthotho lwezinto ezibonelelwayo kunye nokufumaneka kwezinto eziluhlaza, nto leyo efuna ukunikezelwa rhoqo kwezinto ezikumgangatho ophezulu zefayibha yekhabhoni;
3. Imiqobo yobugcisa kunye neyokuvelisa: imingeni yokwandisa imveliso kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zokukhuphisana nezixhobo zemveli ezifana nefayibha yeglasi.

Malunga ne-45% yeeblade ezintsha ze-wind turbine ezakhiwe ngo-2024 zenziwe ngeifayibha yekhabhoni, kwaye ama-70% eendawo ezintsha zokufakelwa komoya olwandle ezikwibhodi ngo-2023 zisebenzisa iiblade ze-carbon fiber

Umthamo opheleleyo wokufakelwa kwamandla kwihlabathi liphela udlula i-1 TW ngo-2023. Olu lwando lukhawulezileyo lugxininisa indima ephambili yoshishino ekuphuculeni izisombululo zamandla avuselelekayo ukulwa notshintsho lwemozulu, kwaye enye yezona zinto ziphambili ezibangela ukukhula kwayo okuphezulu yimfuno ekhulayo yezixhobo ezisebenzayo nezihlala ixesha elide ekwakheni iiturbine zomoya, ngakumbi i-carbon fiber yeeblades zerotor.

Iimpawu eziphezulu zezinto zefayibha yekhabhoni xa zithelekiswa neefayibha zeglasi zemveli zibangela ukwanda kwemfuno yeiifayibha zekhabhonikwiiblade zerotor zeturbine yomoya. Ifayibha yekhabhoni inomlinganiselo ophezulu wamandla ukuya kubunzima, nto leyo ebalulekileyo ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kunye nobude bexesha leeturbine zomoya. Malunga ne-45% yeeblade zerotor ezisandula ukwenziwa ngo-2024 zenziwe ngefayibha yekhabhoni, ukunyuka kwe-10% kunyaka ophelileyo. Olu hlobo luqhutywa yimfuno yokuvelisa iiturbine ezinkulu nezisebenzayo ezikwaziyo ukuvelisa imveliso ephezulu; eneneni, umthamo ophakathi weeturbines unyuke waya kwi-4.5 megawatts (MW), ukunyuka kwe-15 ekhulwini ukusuka ngo-2022.

Uhlalutyo olunzulu lwe-Astute Analytica lwe-carbon fiber kwimarike yeeblades ze-turbine yomoya lutyhila izibalo ezibalulekileyo ezigxininisa ukukhula okuphezulu kwe-carbon fiber kweli candelo. Okuphawulekayo kukuba, amandla omoya ehlabathi afikelele kwi-1,008 GW, ukwanda kwe-73 GW ngo-2023 kuphela. malunga ne-70% yokufakelwa komoya omtsha ongaphandle kolwandle ngo-2023 (i-20 GW iyonke) isebenzisa iiblades ze-carbon fiber ngenxa yokumelana kwazo okuphuculweyo kwiindawo ezinobungozi zaselwandle. Ukongeza, ukusetyenziswa kwe-carbon fiber kubonakaliswe ukwandisa ubomi beeblades ngama-30% kunye nokunciphisa iindleko zokugcinwa ngama-25%, into ephambili kubachaphazelekayo kushishino abajolise ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle.

Ukongeza, izikhuthazo zomgaqo-nkqubo kunye nemiyalelo karhulumente yokufezekisa ukungathathi cala kwekhabhoni ngo-2050 ikhawulezise utyalo-mali ekuphuculeni iifama zomoya ezikhoyo, kunye ne-50% yeeprojekthi zokulungisa izinto ngo-2023 ezibandakanya ukutshintshwa kweeblade zefayibha yefayibha ngezinye iindlela zefayibha yekhabhoni.

Izivalo ze-carbon fiber airfoil zibalulekile ekuphuculeni ukusebenza kakuhle kwe-wind turbine, kwaye kulindeleke ukuba ama-70% eeblade ezintsha ze-wind turbine zibe nezivalo ze-carbon fiber airfoil ngo-2028.

Ngenxa yamandla akhethekileyo kunye nokuqina kweekhabhoni ze-spar caps, uphando lubonisa ukubaifayibha yekhabhoniIi-spar caps zinokuphucula ukusebenza kweeblade ukuya kuthi ga kwi-20%, nto leyo ebangela ukuba iiblade ezinde kunye nokubanjwa kwamandla aphezulu. Ii-carbon fiber spar caps zidlale indima ebalulekileyo ekwandeni kwama-30% kobude beeblade zomoya kwiminyaka elishumi edlulileyo.

Esinye isizathu sokusebenzisaifayibha yekhabhoniIi-spar caps kwiiblades ze-wind turbine kukuba zinciphisa ubunzima beblade ngama-25%, nto leyo enciphisa iindleko zezinto kunye nezothutho. Ukongeza, ubomi bokudinwa be-carbon fiber spar cap buphezulu ngama-50% kunezixhobo eziqhelekileyo, nto leyo enciphisa iindleko zokugcinwa kwaye yandisa ubomi be-turbine.

Njengoko ishishini lomoya lisebenza ukuhlangabezana neenjongo zamandla avuselelekayo kwihlabathi liphela, ukwamkelwa kwamaphiko e-carbon fiber kunye nee-spar caps kuya kwanda ngakumbi. Kuqikelelwa ukuba ama-70% eeblade ezintsha ze-wind turbine ziya kuba nee-carbon fiber spar caps ngo-2028, xa kuthelekiswa nama-45% ngo-2023. Olu tshintsho kulindeleke ukuba luqhubele phambili ukunyuka kwama-22% ekusebenzeni kakuhle kwe-turbine. Ngokuhambela phambili kwitekhnoloji ye-carbon fiber enyusa amandla ezinto nge-10 ekhulwini kwaye kunciphisa impembelelo yayo kwindalo esingqongileyo nge-5 ekhulwini, intsimi yee-airfoil caps kulindeleke ukuba ilawule kwaye iguqule uyilo lwe-wind turbine, iqinisekise ikamva elizinzileyo nelisebenzayo lamandla avuselelekayo.

Iiblade ze-turbine yomoya ezingama-51-75 m zilawula ihlabathi liphelaifayibha yekhabhoniimakethi yeeblade zeturbine yomoya, kwaye ukusetyenziswa kweeblade ze-carbon fiber kunokunyusa ukuveliswa kwamandla ngama-25 ekhulwini

Iqhutywa kukufuna ukusebenza kakuhle, ukuqina kunye nokusebenza kakuhle, icandelo le-carbon fiber eliyimitha ezingama-51-75 kwimarike yeeblade ze-wind turbine liye laba ngamandla amakhulu kwi-carbon fiber. Iipropati ezikhethekileyo ze-carbon fiber zenza ukuba ibe yinto efanelekileyo kolu didi lobungakanani. Umlinganiselo ophezulu wamandla ukuya kubunzima bezinto ezibonakalayo uphindwe kahlanu kunowentsimbi, nto leyo enciphisa kakhulu ubunzima beblade iyonke, nto leyo ekhokelela ekuphuculweni kokubanjwa kwamandla kunye nokusebenza kakuhle. Eli candelo lobude limele indawo entle apho ibhalansi phakathi kweendleko zezinto kunye nokusebenza kwayo iphuculwa, kwaye iiblade ze-carbon fiber zinesabelo semarike se-60% kolu didi.

Uqoqosho lwamandla omoya luye lwanegalelo ngakumbi ekuthandweni kwefayibha yekhabhoni kweli candelo. Ixabiso eliphezulu lokuqala lefayibha yekhabhoni lincitshiswa bubomi bayo obude kunye nokugcinwa kwayo okunciphileyo. Iiblayidi ezenziwe ngefayibha yekhabhoni zinobomi benkonzo obude obuyi-20% kuluhlu lweemitha ezingama-51-75 xa kuthelekiswa neeblayidi ezenziwe ngezinto eziqhelekileyo. Ukongeza, iindleko zomjikelo wobomi bezi blayidi zincitshiswa nge-15% ngenxa yokutshintshwa okuncinci kunye nokulungiswa. Ngokuphathelele imveliso yamandla, iiturbines ezineeblayidi zefayibha yekhabhoni kule luhlu lobude zinokuvelisa umbane ongaphezulu ukuya kuthi ga kwi-25%, nto leyo ekhokelela kwimbuyekezo ekhawulezileyo kutyalo-mali. Idatha yemarike ibonisa ukuba ukwamkelwa kwefayibha yekhabhoni kweli candelo kukhule ngama-30% ngonyaka kwiminyaka emihlanu edlulileyo.

I-carbon fiber kwiiblades ze-wind turbine dynamics zemarike nazo ziphenjelelwa yimfuno yemithombo yamandla ezinzileyo nevuselelekayo, apho amandla omoya kulindeleke ukuba anikezele nge-30% yombane wehlabathi ngo-2030. Iiblades ezingama-51-75 m zifanelekile ngokukodwa kwiifama zomoya ezikude nolwandle, apho iiturbine ezinkulu nezisebenza kakuhle zibaluleke kakhulu. Ukusasazwa kofakelo olukude nolwandle kusetyenziswa iiblades ze-carbon fiber kunyuke nge-40%, kuqhutywa yimigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente kunye nezibonelelo ezijolise ekunciphiseni i-carbon footprints. Ulawulo lwale candelo lemarike lugxininiswa ngakumbi ligalelo le-carbon fiber elingama-50% ekukhuleni ngokubanzi kweshishini lomoya, okwenzaifayibha yekhabhonikungekuphela nje ukhetho lwezinto eziphathekayo, kodwa lilitye lesiseko leziseko zophuhliso zamandla zexesha elizayo.

Ukwanda kwamandla omoya e-Asia-Pacific kwenza ukuba ibe ngamandla amakhulu kwi-carbon fiber kwiiblades ze-turbine yomoya

Iqhutywa lishishini lamandla omoya elikhulayo, iAsia Pacific ivele njengomthengi omkhulu we-carbon fiber kwiiblades ze-wind turbine. Ngomthamo wamandla omoya ofakelweyo ongaphezulu kwe-378.67 GW ngo-2023, lo mmandla ubandakanya phantse i-38% yamandla omoya afakelweyo kwihlabathi liphela. ITshayina neIndiya ziinkokeli, apho iTshayina yodwa inegalelo elikhulu kwi-310 GW, okanye i-89% yamandla ommandla.

Ukongeza, iTshayina ikhokela kwihlabathi liphela ekuhlanganiseni i-nacelle ye-wind turbine, enomthamo wonyaka we-82 GW. Ukusukela ngoJuni 2024, iTshayina ifake i-410 GW yamandla omoya. Iinjongo zamandla avuselelekayo ezimandla zalo mmandla, eziqhutywa yimfuno yamandla ekhulayo kunye nezibophelelo zokusingqongileyo, zifuna ubuchwepheshe obuphambili nobusebenzayo.

Ummandla waseAsia-Pacific unabavelisi abaphambili be-carbon fiber, beqinisekisa ukunikezelwa okuzinzileyo kwe-carbon fiber kunye nobuchwepheshe obutsha. Uhlobo olulula lwe-carbon fiber luvumela ububanzi obukhulu be-rotor kunye nokusebenza kakuhle kokubamba amandla. Oku kubangele ukwanda kwe-15% kwimveliso yamandla kwiindawo ezintsha xa kuthelekiswa nezixhobo eziqhelekileyo. Njengoko amandla omoya eqikelelwa ukuba aza kukhula nge-30% ngo-2030, ukwamkelwa kwe-carbon fiber kwiiturbine zomoya kuya kuqhubeka nokunyuka kummandla waseAsia-Pacific.

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