Ukwamukelwa Kwe-Carbon Fiber Kuma-Wind Turbine Blades Kuzokhula Ngokuphawulekayo

Ngomhlaka-24 kuJuni, i-Astute Analytica, isazi somhlaba wonke kanye nenkampani yokubonisana, yashicilela ukuhlaziywa kwe-globali-carbon fiberemakethe yama-blade e-rotor turbine yomoya, umbiko ka-2024-2032. Ngokusho kokuhlaziywa kombiko, usayizi we-carbon fiber yomhlaba wonke emakethe yama-blade e-rotor turbine yomoya wawucishe ube yizigidi ezingama-4,392 zamaRandi ngo-2023, kuyilapho kulindeleke ukuthi ufinyelele ku-$15,904 million ngo-2032, ukhule ku-CAGR engu-15.37% ngesikhathi sokubikezela sika-2024-2032.

Amaphuzu ayinhloko ombiko mayelana nokusetshenziswa kwei-carbon fiberKuma-blades e-wind turbine kuhlanganisa izingxenye ezilandelayo:

• Ngokwesifunda, imakethe ye-carbon fiber yase-Asia-Pacific yamandla omoya inkulu kakhulu ngo-2023, ilinganiselwa ku-59.9%;
• Ngokwesayizi we-blade ye-wind turbine, i-carbon fiber inesilinganiso esiphezulu sokusetshenziswa esingu-38.4% ngobukhulu bama-blade angu-51-75 m;
• Ngokombono wezingxenye zohlelo lokusebenza, isilinganiso sokusetshenziswa kwe-carbon fiber ku-wind turbine blade wing beam cap siphezulu njengo-61.2%.

Izitayela eziyinhloko ekuthuthukisweni kwama-wind turbine blades eminyakeni yamuva zifaka:

1. Intuthuko yezobuchwepheshe ekukhiqizeni: intuthuko eqhubekayo ezinqubweni zokukhiqizwa kwe-carbon fiber kanye nezakhiwo zezinto;
2. Ukwanda kobude be-blade: isidingo sama-blade amade nalula siyakhula ukuze kuthuthukiswe ukubanjwa kwamandla kanye nokusebenza kahle;
3. Ukukhula kwemakethe yesifunda: okuqhutshwa ukwanda kwesidingo samandla kanye nezinqubomgomo zokusekela uhulumeni, imakethe esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific ikhule kakhulu.

Izinselele ezibaluleke kakhulu ekusetshenzisweni kwe-i-carbon fiberKuma-wind turbine blades kuhlanganisa okulandelayo:

1. Izindleko zokuqala eziphezulu zokutshalwa kwezimali: ukukhiqizwa kwe-carbon fiber kanye nokuhlanganiswa kwama-turbine omoya kudinga imali enkulu;
2. Uchungechunge lokuphakelwa kanye nokutholakala kwezinto zokusetshenziswa, okudinga ukuphakelwa okuqhubekayo kwezinto ze-carbon fiber ezisezingeni eliphezulu;
3. Izithiyo zobuchwepheshe nezokukhiqiza: izinselele zokwandisa umkhiqizo kanye nokunciphisa izindleko ukuze kuncintiswane nezinto zendabuko ezifana nefayibha yengilazi.

Cishe ama-45% ama-blade amasha e-wind turbine akhiwe ngo-2024 enziwe nge-i-carbon fiber, kanye nama-70% okufakwa komoya okusha ogwini lolwandle ngo-2023 kusebenzisa ama-carbon fiber blades

Umthamo ophelele womhlaba wonke ofakiwe udlula i-1 TW ngo-2023. Lokhu kwanda okusheshayo kugcizelela indima ebalulekile yemboni ekuthuthukiseni izixazululo zamandla avuselelekayo ukulwa nokushintsha kwesimo sezulu, futhi esinye sezizathu ezibalulekile ngemuva kwesilinganiso sayo sokukhula okuphezulu yisidingo esikhulayo sezinto ezisebenza kahle futhi ezihlala isikhathi eside ekwakhiweni kwe-wind turbine, ikakhulukazi i-carbon fiber yama-rotor blades.

Izakhiwo ezinhle kakhulu zezinto ze-carbon fiber uma ziqhathaniswa nezintambo zeglasi zendabuko zibangela ukwanda kwesidingo se-imicu yekhabhonikuma-rotor blades e-wind turbine. I-carbon fiber inesilinganiso samandla aphezulu nesisindo, okubalulekile ekuthuthukiseni ukusebenza kanye nobude besikhathi sama-wind turbine. Cishe ama-45% ama-rotor blades asanda kukhiqizwa ngo-2024 enziwe nge-carbon fiber, ukwanda okungu-10% kusukela ngonyaka odlule. Lo mkhuba uqhutshwa yisidingo sokukhiqiza ama-turbine amakhulu, asebenza kahle kakhulu angakwazi ukukhiqiza imiphumela ephezulu; empeleni, isilinganiso samandla ama-turbine sikhuphuke saya kuma-megawatts angu-4.5 (MW), ukwanda ngamaphesenti ayi-15 kusukela ngo-2022.

Ukuhlaziywa okujulile kwe-Astute Analytica kwe-carbon fiber emakethe yama-wind turbine blades kwembula izibalo eziningana ezibalulekile ezigcizelela ukukhula okuphezulu kwe-carbon fiber kulesi sigaba. Okuphawulekayo ukuthi amandla omoya emhlabeni wonke afinyelele ku-1,008 GW, ukwanda okungu-73 GW ngo-2023 kuphela. cishe u-70% wokufakwa okusha komoya olwandle ngo-2023 (okuyi-20 GW isiyonke) kusebenzisa ama-carbon fiber blades ngenxa yokumelana kwawo okuthuthukisiwe ezindaweni zasolwandle ezinzima. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukusetshenziswa kwe-carbon fiber kuye kwabonakala kwandisa impilo yama-blades ngo-30% futhi kunciphisa izindleko zokulungisa ngo-25%, okuyisici esibalulekile sabathintekayo embonini abahlose ukuthuthukisa ukusebenza kahle.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, izikhuthazo zenqubomgomo kanye nemiyalelo kahulumeni yokufeza ukungathathi hlangothi kwekhabhoni ngo-2050 kuye kwasheshisa ukutshalwa kwezimali ekuthuthukiseni amapulazi omoya akhona, kanti amaphrojekthi okuvuselela angu-50% ngo-2023 ahilela ukushintshwa kwama-blade e-fiberglass ngezinye izindlela ze-carbon fiber.

Ama-cap e-airfoil e-carbon fiber ayisihluthulelo sokuthuthukisa ukusebenza kahle kwe-wind turbine, njengoba kulindeleke ukuthi ama-70% ama-blade amasha e-wind turbine abe nama-cap e-airfoil e-carbon fiber ngo-2028.

Ngenxa yamandla akhethekile kanye nokuqina okuphezulu kwama-carbon fiber spar caps, ucwaningo lubonisa ukuthii-carbon fiberAma-spar cap angathuthukisa ukusebenza kwe-blade ngamaphesenti afinyelela ku-20, okuholela kuma-blade amade kanye nokubamba amandla aphezulu. Ama-spar cap e-carbon fiber adlale indima ebalulekile ekwandeni ngo-30% kobude be-blade yomoya eminyakeni eyishumi edlule.

Esinye isizathu sokusebenzisai-carbon fiberAma-spar cap kuma-wind turbine blades ukuthi anciphisa isisindo se-blade ngo-25%, okunciphisa izindleko zezinto zokwakha nezokuthutha. Ngaphezu kwalokho, impilo yokukhathala ye-carbon fiber spar cap iphakeme ngo-50% kunezinto ezivamile, okunciphisa izindleko zokulungisa futhi kwandise impilo ye-turbine.

Njengoba imboni yomoya isebenza ukuhlangabezana nemigomo yamandla avuselelekayo emhlabeni jikelele, ukwamukelwa kwephiko le-carbon fiber kanye nama-spar cap kuzokhula kakhulu. Kulinganiselwa ukuthi ama-70% ama-wind turbine blades amasha azoba nama-carbon fiber spar caps ngo-2028, uma kuqhathaniswa nama-45% ngo-2023. Lolu shintsho kulindeleke ukuthi luqhube ukwanda okungu-22% ekusebenzeni kahle kwe-turbine iyonke. Njengoba intuthuko kwezobuchwepheshe be-carbon fiber ikhulisa amandla ezinto ngamaphesenti ayi-10 futhi inciphise umthelela wayo emvelweni ngamaphesenti ama-5, insimu yama-airfoil caps kulindeleke ukuthi ibuse futhi iguqule umklamo we-wind turbine, iqinisekise ikusasa elizinzile nelisebenzayo lamandla avuselelekayo.

Ama-blade e-wind turbine angu-51-75 m abusa umhlaba wonkei-carbon fiberimakethe yama-blade e-wind turbine, kanye nokusetshenziswa kwama-blade e-carbon fiber kungandisa ukukhiqizwa kwamandla ngamaphesenti angama-25

Iqhutshwa ukufuna ukusebenza kahle, ukuqina kanye nokusebenza kahle, ingxenye ye-carbon fiber yamamitha angu-51-75 emakethe ye-wind turbine blade isibe amandla amakhulu ku-carbon fiber. Izakhiwo ezihlukile ze-carbon fiber zenza kube yinto efanelekile yalesi sigaba sosayizi. Isilinganiso samandla aphezulu ensimbi siphindwe kahlanu kunensimbi, okunciphisa kakhulu isisindo esiphelele se-blade, okuholela ekubanjweni kwamandla okuthuthukisiwe kanye nokusebenza kahle. Le ngxenye yobude imelela indawo enhle lapho ibhalansi phakathi kwezindleko zezinto kanye nokusebenza kwayo ilungiswa khona, kanti ama-carbon fiber blade anesabelo semakethe esingu-60% kulesi sigaba.

Umnotho wamandla omoya uye waba negalelo elikhulu ekuthandweni kwe-carbon fiber kulo mkhakha. Izindleko zokuqala eziphezulu ze-carbon fiber zincishiswa ukuphila kwayo isikhathi eside kanye nokugcinwa kwayo okuncishisiwe. Ama-blade enziwe nge-carbon fiber anempilo yesevisi ende ngo-20% ebangeni eliphakathi kwamamitha angu-51-75 uma kuqhathaniswa nama-blade enziwe ngezinto ezivamile. Ngaphezu kwalokho, izindleko zomjikelezo wokuphila kwala ma-blade zincishiswa ngo-15% ngenxa yokufakwa esikhundleni nokulungiswa okumbalwa. Ngokuphathelene nokukhishwa kwamandla, ama-turbine anama-blade e-carbon fiber kuleli banga lobude angakhiqiza ugesi ofika ku-25%, okuholela ekubuyiselweni okusheshayo kokutshalwa kwezimali. Idatha yemakethe ikhombisa ukuthi ukwamukelwa kwe-carbon fiber kulesi sigaba kukhule ngo-30% ngonyaka eminyakeni emihlanu edlule.

I-carbon fiber kuma-wind turbine blades dynamics emakethe nayo ithonywa yisidingo semithombo yamandla esimeme futhi evuselelekayo, kanti amandla omoya kulindeleke ukuthi ahlinzeke ngo-30% kagesi womhlaba ngo-2030. Ama-blades angu-51-75 m afanelekela kakhulu amapulazi omoya aphesheya kwezilwandle, lapho ama-turbine amakhulu futhi asebenza kahle kakhulu ebaluleke kakhulu. Ukufakwa kwezindawo zokusebenzisa ama-carbon fiber blades kukhuphuke ngo-40%, kuqhutshwa yizinqubomgomo zikahulumeni kanye nezibonelelo ezihlose ukunciphisa izinyawo ze-carbon. Ukubusa kwale ngxenye yemakethe kugcizelelwa kakhulu ngumnikelo we-carbon fiber ongu-50% ekukhuleni okuphelele kwemboni yomoya, okwenzai-carbon fiberhhayi nje ukukhetha izinto ezibonakalayo, kodwa futhi yitshe lesisekelo sengqalasizinda yamandla yesikhathi esizayo.

Ukwanda kwamandla omoya e-Asia-Pacific kwenza kube amandla amakhulu ku-carbon fiber kuma-wind turbine blades

Iqhutshwa yimboni yamandla omoya ekhulayo, i-Asia Pacific ivele njengomthengi omkhulu we-carbon fiber yama-blade e-wind turbine. Njengoba inamandla omoya angaphezu kuka-378.67 GW afakiwe ngo-2023, lesi sifunda sicishe sibe ngu-38% wamandla omoya omhlaba wonke afakiwe. I-China ne-India zingabaholi, kanti i-China yodwa inikela nge-310 GW emangalisayo, noma u-89% wamandla esifunda.

Ngaphezu kwalokho, iShayina ingumholi womhlaba ekuhlanganisweni kwe-nacelle ye-wind turbine ogwini, enekhono lonyaka elingu-82 GW. Kusukela ngoJuni 2024, iShayina isifake amandla omoya angu-410 GW. Imigomo yamandla avuselelekayo yalesi sifunda, eqhutshwa yisidingo samandla esikhulayo kanye nezibopho zemvelo, idinga ubuchwepheshe obuthuthukisiwe nobusebenzayo.

Isifunda sase-Asia-Pacific sinabakhiqizi be-carbon fiber abahamba phambili, okuqinisekisa ukutholakala okuzinzile kwe-carbon fiber kanye nokusungula izinto ezintsha kwezobuchwepheshe. Ukukhanya kwe-carbon fiber kuvumela ububanzi obukhulu be-rotor kanye nokusebenza kahle kokubamba amandla okuthuthuka. Lokhu kuholele ekukhuleni okungu-15% kokukhishwa kwamandla kokufakwa okusha uma kuqhathaniswa nezinto ezivamile. Njengoba amandla omoya ebikezelwe ukuthi azokhula ngo-30% ngo-2030, ukwamukelwa kwe-carbon fiber kuma-wind turbine kuzoqhubeka nokukhula esifundeni sase-Asia-Pacific.

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